بررسی پیامد های اقتصادی زمانبندی اخبار سود پیش بینی شده شرکتهای کشاورزی پذیرفته شده در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران

فصلنامه علمی -پژوهشی تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزی

مقاله 10، دوره 14، شماره 1، اردیبهشت 1401، صفحه 143-156   

نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی

شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30495/jae.2021.24301.2142

نویسندگان

اصغر کریمی خرمی¹؛ علیرضا زارعی^{* 2}؛ سعید علی احمدی³

¹دانشجوی دکتری حسابداری، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی،واحد اصفهان (خوراسگان)،اصفهان، ایران

²استادیار حسابداری، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی،واحد فلاورجان، اصفهان، ایران

³استادیار حسابداری، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، واحد اصفهان ( خوراسگان)،اصفهان، ایران

تاریخ دریافت: 11 اسفند 1398،  تاریخ بازنگری: 23 اردیبهشت 1399،  تاریخ پذیرش: 27 تیر 1400 

چکیده

یکی از استراتژی های مدیران برای منحرف کردن توجه بازار از عملکرد ضعیف شرکت‌ها، استفاده از تغییرات زمانبندی اعلان سود می باشد، که بیشتر مورد توجه استفاده کنندگان است. برای بررسی فرضیه های این مقاله از نمونه آماری مربوط به 60 شرکت بورس اوراق بهادار تهران در بازه زمانی 1392-1396 استفاده شده است و برای آزمون فرضیات، از رگرسیون چند متغیره استفاده شده است با توجه به نتایج به دست آمده، مدیران از تغییرات زمانبندی جهت پنهان ساختن اخبار بد از ساعت کاری بازار بورس به بعد از ساعت کاری بورس استفاده میکنند در حالیکه مدیران از تغییرات زمانی پایان هفته و روز های شلوغ جهت پنهان ساختن اخبار بد کمتر استفاده کرده اند. همچنین نتایج نشان می دهد که شرکتها از تغییرات زمانی جهت برجسته کردن اخبار خوب بیشتر از پنهان کردن اخبار بد استفاده کرده اند. بنابراین به سرمایه گذاران و سایر استفاده کنندگان،توصیه می گردد که به تغییرات زمانی سود پیش بینی توجه نمایند، تا تصمیم گیری صحیح تری انجام دهند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

اخبار خوب؛ اخبار بد؛ فرضیه افشای راهبردی. پیش بینی سود؛ زمان اعلان سود

عنوان مقاله [English]

Investigate the economic consequences to the timing of earnings news forecast for accepted corporates Agriculture in Tehran Securities Exchange .

نویسندگان [English]

asghar karimi khorami¹؛ A zaree²؛ S Aliahmadi³

¹Azad University Faculty

²department

³department

چکیده [English]

In recent years, the corporate program for maximizing the appropriate reaction of Securities Exchange to corporate position performance And minimizing the inappropriate reaction to their negative performance has been considered by analysts and accounting researchers. In this research we use the multivariate regression model to test the hypotheses and our statistical population is Tehran stock Exchange corporate .After sampling, 64 corporates have been selected during 2014to 2017. And to test hypotheses Multivariate regression has been used According to the results obtained Managers change timing to hide The bad news is that they are using the stock market after hours after the stock market Managers while have made less use of the weekend and busy days to hide bad news The results also show that companies have used time changes to highlight good news rather than hide bad news So to investors and other users It is advisable to pay attention to the time changes of the forecast profit, to make a more correct decision.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

Good and bad news, strategic disclosure hypothesis, expected earnings

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