تأثیر سیاست‌ پولی بر ارزش افزوده بخش کشاورزی و زیر بخش‌های آن در اقتصاد ایران

فصلنامه علمی -پژوهشی تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزی

دوره 15، شماره 2، مرداد 1402، صفحه 103-87   

نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی

شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30495/jae.2023.30186.2330

نویسندگان

امیرعلی فرهنگ^{* 1}؛ رفیع حسنی مقدم²؛ آنیتا ابونوری³؛ علی محمدپور⁴

¹گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران

²گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه دامغان، دامغان، ایران

³کارشناسی ارشد، آمار اقتصادی و اجتماعی، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران

⁴دانشجوی دکتری، علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه تبریز، تبریز، ایران

تاریخ دریافت: 26 اسفند 1400،  تاریخ بازنگری: 29 مرداد 1402،  تاریخ پذیرش: 30 مرداد 1402 

چکیده

مقدمه و هدف: هدف از تحقیق حاضر، بررسی اثر سیاست پولی بر ارزش افزوده بخش کشاورزی و زیر بخش‌های آن (زراعی، دامی، جنگلداری و شیلات) است.

مواد و روش‌ها: جهت بررسی تحقیق از متغیرهای؛ نقدینگی، ارزش افزوده و سرمایه گذاری بصورت داده‌های سالانه طی دوره زمانی 1398- 1370 و روش اقتصاد سنجی GMM استفاده شده است.

یافته‌ها: نتایج پژوهش نشان‌ می‌دهد، نقدینگی در کل بخش کشاورزی موجب افزایش 06/3 واحدی ارزش افزوده شده است، در حالی که نقدینگی در زیر بخش‌های زراعی، دامی، شیلات و جنگلداری به‌ ترتیب موجب افزایش 017/0، 76/2، 18/2 و 05/1 واحدی آن شده است

بحث و نتیجه‌گیری: با توجه به نتایج تحقیق، سیاست‌های پولی در کارایی بخش کشاورزی موثر می‌باشند و با استناد به نتایج به دست آمده، هدایت نقدینگی موجود به سمت سرمایه‌گذاری در زیر بخش‌های پر بازده کشاورزی پیشنهاد می‌گردد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

ارزش افزوده بخش کشاورزی؛ سیاست پولی؛ GMM

عنوان مقاله [English]

The Effect of Monetary Policy on Value-added of the Agricultural Sector and Its Subsectors in The Iranian Economy

نویسندگان [English]

amirali farhang¹؛ Rafi Hasanimoghadam²؛ Anita Abounoori³؛ ali mohammadpour⁴

¹Department of Economics, Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran

²Department of Economics, Damghan University, Damghan, Iran

³Master, Economics and Social Statistics, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran

⁴PhD student, Economics Sciences, Tabriz University, Tabriz, Iran

چکیده [English]

Introduction:The aim of this research is to investigate the effect of monetary policy on the value added of the agricultural sector and its subsectors (crop, livestock, fisheries and forestry).

Materials and Methods: To investigate the research of the variables; Liquidity, value added, and investment as annual data from 1991-2019, and the GMM econometric method was used.

Findings: The results of the research show that liquidity in the entire agricultural sector has increased the value added by 3.06 units, While liquidity in the crop, livestock, fisheries and forestry sub-sectors has increased by 0.017, 2.76, 2.18 and 1.05 units, respectively

Conclusion: According to the research results, monetary policies are effective in the efficiency of the agricultural sector, and based on the obtained results, it is suggested to direct the available liquidity towards investment in the productive sub-sectors of agriculture.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

value added of agricultural sector, monetary policy, GMM

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